:Product: 0104RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2010 Jan 04 2201 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 004 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Jan 2010
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  03/2100Z
to 04/2100Z:  Solar activity was low. Region 1039 (S28W72) produced
one C-class flare during the forecast period. This region remains a
D-type sunspot group with a beta magnetic classification.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. There is a likely chance of a C-class flare from Region
1039.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next three days (05 - 07 January).
III.  Event Probabilities 05 Jan-07 Jan
Class M    05/05/05
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           04 Jan 073
Predicted   05 Jan-07 Jan  080/080/080
90 Day Mean        04 Jan 075
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 03 Jan  003/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Jan  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Jan-07 Jan  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Jan-07 Jan
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01