:Product: 0113RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2010 Jan 13 2201 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 013 Issued at 2200Z on 13 Jan 2010
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  12/2100Z
to 13/2100Z:  Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past
24 hours. Region 1040 (N28W11) has shown growth in areal coverage
(370 Millionths) and is now classified as a Eki-beta group with 33
spots.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected be at very
low to low levels for the next three days (14-16 January). There is
a chance that Region 1040 will produce an isolated M-class flare.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 12/2100Z to 13/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain at quiet levels for the next three days (14-16
January).
III.  Event Probabilities 14 Jan-16 Jan
Class M    25/25/25
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           13 Jan 091
Predicted   14 Jan-16 Jan  091/090/087
90 Day Mean        13 Jan 076
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 12 Jan  002/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 13 Jan  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 14 Jan-16 Jan  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 14 Jan-16 Jan
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01