:Product: 0805RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2010 Aug 05 2201 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 217 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Aug 2010
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  04/2100Z
to 05/2100Z:  Solar activity remained very low. New region 1094
(N25W57) was numbered today. Region 1094 is a Cso beta sunspot
group. Region 1093 (N11E58) produced several B-class flares during
the period.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a chance for an isolated  C-class flare from Regions 1093
and 1094.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity ranged from quiet to active levels in
response to CMEs observed on 01 August.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be mostly quiet with an isolated chance of unsettled
levels at high latitudes during the next three days (06 - 08 August).
III.  Event Probabilities 06 Aug-08 Aug
Class M    05/05/05
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           05 Aug 083
Predicted   06 Aug-08 Aug  084/084/084
90 Day Mean        05 Aug 075
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 04 Aug  026/042
Estimated Afr/Ap 05 Aug  009/015
Predicted Afr/Ap 06 Aug-08 Aug  007/007-007/007-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Aug-08 Aug
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                20/20/15
Minor storm           05/05/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                25/25/20
Minor storm           10/10/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01