:Product: 0806RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2010 Aug 06 2201 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 218 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Aug 2010
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  05/2100Z
to 06/2100Z:  Solar activity was low. Region 1093 (N12E45) produced a
C1 flare at 2135Z. New region 1095 (S19E34) was numbered today.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a chance for an isolated C-class flare from Regions 1093
and 1094 (N26W71).
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was mostly quiet. An isolated unsettled
period was observed at 06/0600Z.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be mostly quiet with an isolated chance of unsettled
levels during the next three days (07 - 09 August).
III.  Event Probabilities 07 Aug-09 Aug
Class M    05/05/05
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           06 Aug 082
Predicted   07 Aug-09 Aug  084/084/082
90 Day Mean        06 Aug 075
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 Aug  007/010
Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Aug  007/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Aug-09 Aug  007/008-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Aug-09 Aug
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           05/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/10/10
Minor storm           05/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01