:Product: 0808RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2010 Aug 08 2201 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 220 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Aug 2010
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  07/2100Z
to 08/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. Only B-class flares were
observed during the past 24 hours.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low with C-class flares likely from Regions 1093 (N10E15) and
1095 (S17E08). A chance of M-class activity is possible from Region
1093.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels again today.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be mostly quiet with a chance of isolated unsettled
levels for the next three days (09 - 11 August).
III.  Event Probabilities 09 Aug-11 Aug
Class M    25/25/25
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           08 Aug 083
Predicted   09 Aug-11 Aug  082/082/082
90 Day Mean        08 Aug 076
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 07 Aug  004/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Aug  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Aug-11 Aug  005/005-005/005-007/008
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Aug-11 Aug
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/10/15
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01