:Product: 0811RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2010 Aug 11 2201 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 223 Issued at 2200Z on 11 Aug 2010
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  10/2100Z
to 11/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. Several low-level B-class
flares were observed during the period. Region 1098 (N15E28) was
numbered and was classified as a Dro spot group with a beta magnetic
configuration.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low, with a chance for a C-class flare from Region 1098.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 10/2100Z to 11/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels, with a single
unsettled period between 11/06-09Z. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels today.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be quiet for the next three days (12-14 August).
III.  Event Probabilities 12 Aug-14 Aug
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           11 Aug 086
Predicted   12 Aug-14 Aug  086/087/087
90 Day Mean        11 Aug 076
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 10 Aug  007/008
Estimated Afr/Ap 11 Aug  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 12 Aug-14 Aug  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 12 Aug-14 Aug
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01