:Product: 0819RSGA.txt :Issued: 2010 Aug 19 2201 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 231 Issued at 2200Z on 19 Aug 2010 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 18/2100Z to 19/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. Region 1100 (S22E22) decayed to spotless plage late in the period. No new regions were numbered today. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels for the next three days (20-22 August). IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 18/2100Z to 19/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels for the next three days (20-22 August). III. Event Probabilities 20 Aug-22 Aug Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF Green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 19 Aug 078 Predicted 20 Aug-22 Aug 078/078/077 90 Day Mean 19 Aug 077 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 18 Aug 003/005 Estimated Afr/Ap 19 Aug 003/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 20 Aug-22 Aug 005/005-005/005-005/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 20 Aug-22 Aug A. Middle Latitudes Active 05/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 05/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01