:Product: 0826RSGA.txt :Issued: 2010 Aug 26 2201 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 238 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Aug 2010 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z: Solar activity was very low during the past 24 hours. Region 1101 (N13E48) produced two low level B-class flares. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is forecast to be very low for the next 3 days (27-29 August). IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z: The geomagnetic field ranged between quiet and active conditions during the past 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was high throughout the period. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is forecast to be mostly quiet to unsettled with isolated active conditions on day 1 (27 August), returning to mostly quiet conditions on days 2 and 3 (28-29 August). III. Event Probabilities 27 Aug-29 Aug Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF Green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 26 Aug 073 Predicted 27 Aug-29 Aug 075/075/075 90 Day Mean 26 Aug 077 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 25 Aug 015/020 Estimated Afr/Ap 26 Aug 012/015 Predicted Afr/Ap 27 Aug-29 Aug 008/010-005/008-005/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Aug-29 Aug A. Middle Latitudes Active 40/20/20 Minor storm 10/05/05 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 50/30/20 Minor storm 20/10/05 Major-severe storm 01/01/01