:Product: 0830RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2010 Aug 30 2201 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 242 Issued at 2200Z on 30 Aug 2010
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  29/2100Z
to 30/2100Z:  Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past
24 hours. Region 1102 (N28W26) produced several low level B-class
events. Region 1101 (N13W06) remained stable and quiet and Region
1102 has grown in areal coverage and sunspot number. No new regions
were numbered today.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be at
very low levels with a slight chance for an isolated C-class events
for the next three days (31 August - 02 September).
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 29/2100Z to 30/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at
high levels throughout the period.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (31 August)
due to a coronal hole high speed stream becoming geoeffective.
Mostly quiet levels are expected to return on days two and three (01
September - 02 September).
III.  Event Probabilities 31 Aug-02 Sep
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           30 Aug 075
Predicted   31 Aug-02 Sep  075/076/076
90 Day Mean        30 Aug 077
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 29 Aug  002/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 30 Aug  000/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 31 Aug-02 Sep  007/008-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 31 Aug-02 Sep
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/10/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/15/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01