:Product: 0831RSGA.txt :Issued: 2010 Aug 31 2201 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 243 Issued at 2200Z on 31 Aug 2010 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 30/2100Z to 31/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. Region 1101 (N12W19) and Region 1102 (N28W40) both remained stable and quiet. No flares were observed on the visible disk. No new regions were numbered today. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels for the next three days (01-03 September). IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 30/2100Z to 31/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels throughout the period. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels for the next three days (01-03 September). III. Event Probabilities 01 Sep-03 Sep Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF Green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 31 Aug 075 Predicted 01 Sep-03 Sep 076/076/076 90 Day Mean 31 Aug 077 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 30 Aug 000/002 Estimated Afr/Ap 31 Aug 000/004 Predicted Afr/Ap 01 Sep-03 Sep 005/005-005/005-005/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 01 Sep-03 Sep A. Middle Latitudes Active 10/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 15/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01