:Product: 0902RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2010 Sep 02 2201 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 245 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Sep 2010
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  01/2100Z
to 02/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during
the past 24 hours. Region 1105 (N19W09) was numbered today but
remains quiet and stable.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is forecast to be very
low for the next 3 days (3-5 September).
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet with a brief period of
unsettled conditions overnight. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux
at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
forecast to be mostly quiet on days 1 and 2 (3-4 September).  Quiet
to unsettled with the chance for isolated active conditions are
forecast on day 3 (5 September) due to possible recurrent effects.
III.  Event Probabilities 03 Sep-05 Sep
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           02 Sep 077
Predicted   03 Sep-05 Sep  078/078/076
90 Day Mean        02 Sep 078
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Sep  003/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Sep  006/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Sep-05 Sep  005/005-005/005-008/008
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Sep-05 Sep
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                20/20/30
Minor storm           05/05/10
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/20/30
Minor storm           05/05/10
Major-severe storm    01/01/01