:Product: 0910RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2010 Sep 10 2201 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 253 Issued at 2200Z on 10 Sep 2010
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  09/2100Z
to 10/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  The visible disk was
spotless.  An area of enhanced plage and surging was observed on the
east limb near S20.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 09/2100Z to 10/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to
be at predominately quiet to unsettled levels for the next three
days (11 - 13 September) due to a sequence of small, recurrent
coronal holes that are forecasted to become geoeffective.  Isolated
active periods are possible on 12 - 13 September.
III.  Event Probabilities 11 Sep-13 Sep
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           10 Sep 076
Predicted   11 Sep-13 Sep  076/077/078
90 Day Mean        10 Sep 078
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 09 Sep  004/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 10 Sep  004/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 11 Sep-13 Sep  006/007-008/008-008/008
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 Sep-13 Sep
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/25/25
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/30/30
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01