:Product: 0912RSGA.txt :Issued: 2010 Sep 12 2201 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 255 Issued at 2200Z on 12 Sep 2010 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 11/2100Z to 12/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. New Region 1107 (N33E62) rotated onto the disk as a simple, unipolar group. Region 1106 (S19E57) was quiet and stable. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low with a slight chance of C-class activity. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 11/2100Z to 12/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (13 - 15 September). III. Event Probabilities 13 Sep-15 Sep Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF Green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 12 Sep 078 Predicted 13 Sep-15 Sep 080/080/080 90 Day Mean 12 Sep 078 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 11 Sep 001/001 Estimated Afr/Ap 12 Sep 002/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 13 Sep-15 Sep 005/005-005/005-005/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 13 Sep-15 Sep A. Middle Latitudes Active 10/10/15 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 15/10/20 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01