:Product: 0913RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2010 Sep 13 2201 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 256 Issued at 2200Z on 13 Sep 2010
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  12/2100Z
to 13/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  The disk was quiet and
stable.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.  A slight chance for C-class activity is
possible from Region 1106 (S19E44) for the next three days (14 - 16
September).
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 12/2100Z to 13/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet levels for days one and two (14 - 15
September).  Quiet to unsettled conditions, with isolated high
latitude active periods, are possible on day three (16 September)
due to the combined effects from the 11 September CME and a weak
coronal hole high speed stream.
III.  Event Probabilities 14 Sep-16 Sep
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           13 Sep 080
Predicted   14 Sep-16 Sep  080/080/081
90 Day Mean        13 Sep 078
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 12 Sep  001/001
Estimated Afr/Ap 13 Sep  002/003
Predicted Afr/Ap 14 Sep-16 Sep  005/005-005/005-008/008
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 14 Sep-16 Sep
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/10/25
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/15/30
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01