:Product: 1001RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2010 Oct 01 2201 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 274 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Oct 2010
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  30/2100Z
to 01/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  Region 1110 (N20W71)
produced a long duration, B5/Sf event at 01/1001Z.  Region 1110 has
decreased in areal coverage and extent and is now an A-type group. 
Region 1109 (N21W51) has shown little change during the past 24
hours and remains a D-type group with a beta magnetic configuration.
Region 1111 (N20E30) has increased in extent and is now a B-type
group.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low with a chance for a C-class event.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 30/2100Z to 01/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet during the past 24 hours.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly quiet for the next three days (02-04
October).
III.  Event Probabilities 02 Oct-04 Oct
Class M    05/05/05
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           01 Oct 087
Predicted   02 Oct-04 Oct  087/084/081
90 Day Mean        01 Oct 081
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 30 Sep  001/001
Estimated Afr/Ap 01 Oct  002/002
Predicted Afr/Ap 02 Oct-04 Oct  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Oct-04 Oct
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01