:Product: 1006RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2010 Oct 06 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 279 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Oct 2010
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  05/2100Z
to 06/2100Z:  Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past
24 hours. An eruptive filament (N25E50) was observed lifting off the
solar disk at 06/0200Z. Initial observations by LASCO indicate a
partial-halo CME associated with the eruptive filament with speeds
around 160 km/s. The visible disk remains spotless. No new regions
were numbered today.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be at
very low levels for the next three days (07-09 October).
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been at predominantly quiet to unsettled
levels for the past 24 hours.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at mostly quiet levels for the next three days (07-09
October). The partial-halo CME observed earlier in the day does not
look to be geoeffective.
III.  Event Probabilities 07 Oct-09 Oct
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           06 Oct 074
Predicted   07 Oct-09 Oct  075/076/078
90 Day Mean        06 Oct 082
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 Oct  006/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Oct  006/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Oct-09 Oct  005/007-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Oct-09 Oct
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01