:Product: 0326RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2012 Mar 26 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 086 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Mar 2012
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  25/2100Z
to 26/2100Z:  Solar activity has been at low levels.  Region 1442
(N12W01) produced a C1/Sf flare at 26/0642Z.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be low
with a chance for an M-class flare.  Old Region 1429 (N19, L=295) is
expected to return late on day 2 (28 March), further increasing the
possibility of an M-class event.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet on 27 March, increasing to unsettled to
active conditions on 28 and 29 March due to a solar sector boundary
followed by a negative polarity coronal hole.
III.  Event Probabilities 27 Mar-29 Mar
Class M    25/40/55
Class X    05/10/15
Proton     01/05/10
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           26 Mar 102
Predicted   27 Mar-29 Mar  100/105/110
90 Day Mean        26 Mar 120
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 25 Mar  004/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 26 Mar  004/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 27 Mar-29 Mar  006/005-013/015-007/010
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Mar-29 Mar
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/35/25
Minor storm           01/10/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor storm           15/30/35
Major-severe storm    05/45/30