:Product: 0622RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2012 Jun 22 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 174 Issued at 2200Z on 22 Jun 2012
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  21/2100Z
to 22/2100Z:  Solar activity has been very low. New Region 1511
(N15W17) was numbered.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low during the period. Region 1511 is capable of isolated
C-class flare production.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 21/2100Z to 22/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels. The greater than 2
MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels
throughout the period.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Geomagnetic activity is
expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (23 - 25 June).
III.  Event Probabilities 23 Jun-25 Jun
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           22 Jun 088
Predicted   23 Jun-25 Jun  090/090/095
90 Day Mean        22 Jun 119
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 21 Jun  003/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 22 Jun  006/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 23 Jun-25 Jun  006/005-006/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 23 Jun-25 Jun
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor storm           10/10/10
Major-severe storm    05/05/05