:Product: 0625RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2012 Jun 25 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 177 Issued at 2200Z on 25 Jun 2012
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  24/2100Z
to 25/2100Z:  Solar activity increased to low. New Region 1512
(S16E39, Dao/beta) emerged early on 25 June and gradually grew
during the remainder of the period. It produced a C1/Sf flare at
25/2059Z. A long-duration B7 flare occurred at 25/1848Z from a
region beyond the southeast limb. No Earth-directed coronal mass
ejections were observed during the period.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low during the period (26 - 28 June) with a chance for a C-class
flare.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 24/2100Z to 25/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet during the period (26 - 28 June) with a chance
for unsettled levels.
III.  Event Probabilities 26 Jun-28 Jun
Class M    05/05/05
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           25 Jun 089
Predicted   26 Jun-28 Jun  090/095/100
90 Day Mean        25 Jun 118
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 24 Jun  005/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 25 Jun  008/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 26 Jun-28 Jun  005/005-005/005-006/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 Jun-28 Jun
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor storm           20/20/20
Major-severe storm    10/10/10