:Product: 1002RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2012 Oct 02 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 276 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Oct 2012
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  01/2100Z
to 02/2100Z:  Solar activity was low. Region 1584 (S22W01) produced
the largest event of the period, a C1/Sf flare at 02/0904Z. A new
group, Region 1585 (S16E63) was numbered today as well. No Earth
directed CMEs were observed during the period.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low for the next 3 days (3-5 October).
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet for the next 3 days (3-5 October).
III.  Event Probabilities 03 Oct-05 Oct
Class M    05/05/05
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           02 Oct 118
Predicted   03 Oct-05 Oct  115/115/115
90 Day Mean        02 Oct 124
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Oct  021/036
Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Oct  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Oct-05 Oct  004/005-004/005-004/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Oct-05 Oct
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor storm           15/15/15
Major-severe storm    05/05/05