:Product: 1004RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2012 Oct 04 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 278 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Oct 2012
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  03/2100Z
to 04/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a chance for C-flares during the forecast period (05-07
October).
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet during the forecast period (05-07
October).
III.  Event Probabilities 05 Oct-07 Oct
Class M    05/05/05
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           04 Oct 110
Predicted   05 Oct-07 Oct  110/110/105
90 Day Mean        04 Oct 123
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 03 Oct  005/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Oct  002/003
Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Oct-07 Oct  006/005-006/005-006/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Oct-07 Oct
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor storm           15/15/15
Major-severe storm    05/05/05