:Product: 1102RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2012 Nov 02 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 307 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Nov 2012
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  01/2100Z
to 02/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. Todays activity consisted
of a few, low-level B-class flares. All the regions on the disk were
quiet and stable.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low for the next three days with just a chance for an isolated
C-class event.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet during the past 24 hours. The
interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) steadily weakened throughout the
period from initial values around 10 nT to day-end values around 3
nT. The z-component of the IMF (Bz) turned northwards at about 0300Z
and solar wind velocity was at nominal values between 300 to 320
km/s.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly quiet for the next three days (03-05
Nov).
III.  Event Probabilities 03 Nov-05 Nov
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           02 Nov 097
Predicted   03 Nov-05 Nov  100/105/105
90 Day Mean        02 Nov 119
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Nov  017/024
Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Nov  006/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Nov-05 Nov  007/007-006/005-007/007
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Nov-05 Nov
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor storm           10/10/15
Major-severe storm    05/05/10