:Product: 0730RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2018 Jul 30 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 211 Issued at 2200Z on 30 Jul 2018

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 29/2100Z to
30/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (31 Jul, 01 Aug, 02 Aug).

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 29/2100Z to 30/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 332 km/s at 30/1941Z. Total IMF reached 9 nT at
30/1945Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
30/1941Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 2927 pfu.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (31 Jul, 01 Aug, 02
Aug).

III.  Event probabilities 31 Jul-02 Aug
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           30 Jul 068
Predicted   31 Jul-02 Aug 068/068/068
90 Day Mean        30 Jul 071

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 29 Jul  005/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 30 Jul  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 31 Jul-02 Aug  006/005-005/005-006/005

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 31 Jul-02 Aug
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/10/10
Minor Storm           05/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor Storm           20/20/20
Major-severe storm    20/15/15