:Product: 1029RSGA.txt :Issued: 2018 Oct 29 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast SDF Number 302 Issued at 2200Z on 29 Oct 2018 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 28/2100Z to 29/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (30 Oct, 31 Oct, 01 Nov). IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 28/2100Z to 29/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 340 km/s at 29/2050Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at 29/0829Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -2 nT at 29/2016Z. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to active levels on day one (30 Oct), quiet to unsettled levels on day two (31 Oct) and quiet levels on day three (01 Nov). III. Event probabilities 30 Oct-01 Nov Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 29 Oct 069 Predicted 30 Oct-01 Nov 069/069/069 90 Day Mean 29 Oct 069 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 28 Oct 002/003 Estimated Afr/Ap 29 Oct 005/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 30 Oct-01 Nov 009/012-009/010-005/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 30 Oct-01 Nov A. Middle Latitudes Active 20/25/05 Minor Storm 05/05/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 15/15/15 Minor Storm 20/25/15 Major-severe storm 20/30/05