:Product: 1102RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2018 Nov 02 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 306 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Nov 2018

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01/2100Z to
02/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (03 Nov, 04 Nov, 05 Nov).

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 349 km/s at 02/0949Z.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (03 Nov) and unsettled
to active levels on days two and three (04 Nov, 05 Nov).

III.  Event probabilities 03 Nov-05 Nov
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           02 Nov 068
Predicted   03 Nov-05 Nov 067/067/067
90 Day Mean        02 Nov 069

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Nov  005/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Nov  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Nov-05 Nov  016/025-015/020-011/015

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Nov-05 Nov
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                35/30/25
Minor Storm           20/10/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor Storm           25/30/30
Major-severe storm    45/35/35