:Product: 1126RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2019 Nov 26 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 330 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Nov 2019

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25/2100Z to
26/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (27 Nov, 28 Nov, 29 Nov).

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 466 km/s at 25/2108Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at
26/1525Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -2 nT at
25/2212Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 2713 pfu.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (27 Nov,
28 Nov, 29 Nov).

III.  Event probabilities 27 Nov-29 Nov
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           26 Nov 070
Predicted   27 Nov-29 Nov 070/070/070
90 Day Mean        26 Nov 068

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 25 Nov  005/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 26 Nov  004/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 27 Nov-29 Nov  007/008-007/008-007/008

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Nov-29 Nov
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor Storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/20/20
Minor Storm           25/25/25
Major-severe storm    15/15/15