:Product: 0608RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2020 Jun 08 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 160 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Jun 2020

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07/2100Z to
08/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (09
Jun, 10 Jun, 11 Jun).

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 499 km/s at 08/0756Z. Total IMF reached 8
nT at 07/2227Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
07/2142Z.  Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 176 pfu.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (09 Jun, 10 Jun, 11
Jun).

III.  Event probabilities 09 Jun-11 Jun
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           08 Jun 071
Predicted   09 Jun-11 Jun 072/072/072
90 Day Mean        08 Jun 070

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 07 Jun  010/010
Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Jun  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Jun-11 Jun  005/005-005/005-005/005

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Jun-11 Jun
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor Storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/20/15
Minor Storm           20/20/20
Major-severe storm    20/10/10