:Product: 0702RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2020 Jul 02 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 184 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Jul 2020

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01/2100Z to
02/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (03 Jul, 04 Jul, 05 Jul).

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 352 km/s at 01/2336Z. Total IMF reached 6
nT at 01/2137Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
01/2127Z.  Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 149 pfu.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (03 Jul, 04 Jul, 05
Jul).

III.  Event probabilities 03 Jul-05 Jul
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           02 Jul 068
Predicted   03 Jul-05 Jul 068/068/068
90 Day Mean        02 Jul 069

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Jul  006/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Jul  004/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Jul-05 Jul  006/005-006/005-006/005

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Jul-05 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor Storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor Storm           15/15/15
Major-severe storm    10/10/10