:Product: 0703RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2020 Jul 03 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 185 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Jul 2020

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02/2100Z to
03/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (04 Jul, 05 Jul, 06 Jul).

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 337 km/s at 02/2156Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
03/1221Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at
03/0720Z.  Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 201 pfu.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (04 Jul, 05 Jul, 06
Jul).

III.  Event probabilities 04 Jul-06 Jul
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           03 Jul 069
Predicted   04 Jul-06 Jul 069/069/069
90 Day Mean        03 Jul 069

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 Jul  005/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Jul  004/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Jul-06 Jul  006/005-007/008-006/005

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Jul-06 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/15/10
Minor Storm           01/05/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/15/20
Minor Storm           20/25/20
Major-severe storm    10/20/10