:Product: 0604RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2022 Jun 04 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 155 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Jun 2022

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03/2100Z to
04/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 6 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (05 Jun,
06 Jun, 07 Jun).

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 311 km/s at 04/0049Z.  Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 9519 pfu.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on days one and two (05 Jun, 06 Jun) and
quiet levels on day three (07 Jun).

III.  Event probabilities 05 Jun-07 Jun
Class M    05/05/05
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           04 Jun 101
Predicted   05 Jun-07 Jun 100/100/100
90 Day Mean        04 Jun 127

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 03 Jun  004/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Jun  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Jun-07 Jun  010/012-009/010-006/005

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Jun-07 Jun
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                35/30/10
Minor Storm           15/10/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/15/15
Minor Storm           30/30/15
Major-severe storm    45/40/10