2023/08/03 04:00 # AR# WLSG_10 Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (KG) (deg) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 1 13384 103.88 53 -18 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.009 0.000 55! 2 13380 421.69 66 -11 0.787 0.200 0.278 0.453 0.117 67! 3 13386 68.86 18 19 0.024 0.038 0.014 0.034 0.004 26 4 13388 6.53 4 -21 0.002 0.005 0.001 0.011 0.000 21 5 8694-1 2.18 43 -8 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 43 6 13391 10.45 -20 23 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.005 0.000 30 Disk Forecast Rates 0.813 0.247 0.293 0.512 0.121 Multiplicative Uncertainties 1.1x 1.1x 1.1x 1.2x 1.5x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 44.00% 78.00% 74.00% 59.00% 88.00% Uncertainties 3.40% 1.80% 2.10% 5.60% 4.40%