2023/08/03 23:00 # AR# WLSG_10 Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (KG) (deg) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 1 13384 69.97 63 -17 0.005 0.012 0.003 0.007 0.000 64! 2 13380 336.06 78 -11 0.174 0.029 0.098 0.078 0.027 78! 3 13384 58.49 63 -17 0.004 0.011 0.003 0.005 0.000 65! 4 13380 382.76 78 -11 0.545 0.125 0.216 0.377 0.182 78! 5 13386 142.47 45 12 0.059 0.071 0.030 0.043 0.003 47! 6 13387 10.61 21 22 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.012 0.000 30 7 13388 79.99 13 -18 0.014 0.026 0.009 0.025 0.000 22 8 13391 6.05 -10 24 0.001 0.003 0.001 0.004 0.000 26 9 13392 12.78 -13 10 0.002 0.006 0.001 0.010 0.000 16 10 8707-1 0.0 7 31 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 32 11 8710-1 11.16 -31 18 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.007 0.000 35 12 13394 232.42 -64 -22 0.067 0.078 0.034 0.040 0.007 66! 13 8722-1 29.63 -55 24 0.001 0.003 0.001 0.004 0.000 58! 14 13395 164.16 -80 13 0.017 0.029 0.010 0.008 0.002 81! 15 8725-1 0.0 -6 -9 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 10 Disk Forecast Rates 0.889 0.396 0.406 0.620 0.221 Multiplicative Uncertainties 1.1x 1.1x 1.1x 1.2x 1.5x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 41.00% 67.00% 66.00% 53.00% 80.00% Uncertainties 3.50% 2.50% 2.60% 6.10% 7.30%