2023/11/01 17:00 # AR# WLSG_10 Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (KG) (deg) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 1 13472 102.97 36 22 0.021 0.035 0.013 0.026 0.000 41 2 13473 4.06 4 16 0.002 0.006 0.002 0.008 0.000 17 3 13474 104.86 25 -19 0.047 0.061 0.025 0.049 0.000 31 4 13476 0.73 0 -15 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.000 15 5 9177-1 2.44 -25 23 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.002 0.000 33 6 13477 276.76 -74 -15 0.186 0.031 0.102 0.055 0.003 75! Disk Forecast Rates 0.256 0.135 0.142 0.141 0.003 Multiplicative Uncertainties 1.1x 1.0x 1.1x 1.2x 1.3x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 77.00% 87.00% 86.00% 86.00% 99.00% Uncertainties 1.90% 1.00% 1.20% 2.20% 1.00%