2024/05/04 12:00 # AR# WLSG_10 Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (KG) (deg) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 1 13666 15.6 -16 9 0.025 0.038 0.014 0.014 0.004 19 2 10014-1 37.94 -63 -7 0.002 0.006 0.002 0.002 0.000 63! 3 10017-1 6.91 -46 -16 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 48! 4 10020-1 141.69 -79 27 0.001 0.003 0.001 0.001 0.003 80! 5 9976-1 11.45 55 -10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.000 56! 6 13663 253.37 5 26 1.432 0.433 0.421 0.613 0.153 26 7 13662 47.3 34 30 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.003 0.000 44 8 13664 165.61 -32 -19 0.242 0.196 0.106 0.128 0.014 37 Disk Forecast Rates 1.700 0.676 0.544 0.762 0.174 Multiplicative Uncertainties 1.2x 1.2x 1.2x 1.2x 1.5x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 18.00% 50.00% 58.00% 46.00% 84.00% Uncertainties 5.60% 6.20% 5.70% 6.50% 6.00%