2024/05/04 15:00 # AR# WLSG_10 Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (KG) (deg) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 1 13666 9.01 -15 9 0.014 0.025 0.008 0.009 0.000 17 2 10014-1 34.02 -61 -6 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.002 0.000 62! 3 10020-1 150.2 -77 27 0.001 0.003 0.001 0.001 0.004 79! 4 9976-1 13.77 56 -10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.000 57! 5 13663 255.04 7 26 1.471 0.448 0.429 0.613 0.141 27 6 13662 59.58 35 30 0.001 0.003 0.001 0.004 0.000 45 7 13664 161.21 -31 -19 0.255 0.204 0.111 0.132 0.000 35 Disk Forecast Rates 1.700 0.684 0.550 0.762 0.145 Multiplicative Uncertainties 1.2x 1.2x 1.2x 1.2x 1.5x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 18.00% 50.00% 57.00% 46.00% 86.00% Uncertainties 5.60% 6.30% 5.80% 6.50% 5.20%