2024/06/24 13:00 # AR# WLSG_10 Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (KG) (deg) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 1 13713 215.47 83 -15 0.016 0.001 0.019 0.007 0.008 83! 2 13716 171.68 86 8 0.009 0.018 0.006 0.012 0.030 86! 3 13719 21.44 -8 -15 0.036 0.050 0.020 0.021 0.000 17 4 13720 43.66 -18 -4 0.108 0.016 0.070 0.038 0.000 18 5 13721 174.57 -36 24 0.014 0.026 0.009 0.019 0.005 43 6 10280-1 5.62 -14 16 0.001 0.004 0.001 0.001 0.000 21 7 13722 87.73 -44 -12 0.001 0.003 0.001 0.007 0.000 45! 8 13723 584.13 -70 -19 0.011 0.022 0.007 0.009 0.016 71! 9 10287-1 96.51 -58 -5 0.005 0.012 0.003 0.006 0.000 58! 10 10295-1 130.36 -77 -27 0.002 0.006 0.001 0.001 0.004 78! 11 10297-1 257.77 -82 -5 0.004 0.010 0.003 0.002 0.006 82! Disk Forecast Rates 0.207 0.168 0.140 0.123 0.069 Multiplicative Uncertainties 1.1x 1.0x 1.1x 1.2x 1.3x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 81.00% 84.00% 86.00% 88.00% 93.00% Uncertainties 1.60% 1.00% 1.20% 2.00% 1.70%