2024/07/18 21:00 # AR# WLSG_10 Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (KG) (deg) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 1 13747 602.01 50 -17 0.118 0.118 0.056 0.065 0.000 52! 2 13753 228.71 58 11 0.176 0.156 0.080 0.130 0.077 58! 3 13748 1.34 21 16 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.003 0.000 26 4 13744 24.6 36 18 0.005 0.012 0.003 0.006 0.000 39 5 13749 6.3 -2 -32 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.002 0.000 32 6 13750 2.32 -1 -20 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.004 0.000 20 7 13751 107.8 -18 -9 0.567 0.131 0.222 0.189 0.030 20 8 13754 33.12 -28 25 0.004 0.010 0.003 0.007 0.000 37 9 13755 22.74 -37 2 0.001 0.005 0.001 0.005 0.000 37 10 13756 54.89 -42 -17 0.004 0.011 0.003 0.004 0.000 45 11 13757 120.97 -54 18 0.005 0.012 0.003 0.009 0.000 56! 12 13759 28.62 8 -6 0.021 0.034 0.012 0.011 0.000 10 13 10415-1 0.3 2 19 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 19 14 10420-1 48.94 70 20 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 72! Disk Forecast Rates 0.901 0.491 0.383 0.435 0.107 Multiplicative Uncertainties 1.1x 1.0x 1.1x 1.2x 1.4x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 40.00% 61.00% 68.00% 64.00% 89.00% Uncertainties 3.50% 1.00% 2.50% 5.10% 3.30%