2024/07/19 05:00 # AR# WLSG_10 Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (KG) (deg) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 1 13758 409.09 61 -11 0.106 0.109 0.051 0.049 0.003 62! 2 13753 139.19 64 12 0.090 0.097 0.044 0.031 0.006 65! 3 13748 5.67 26 16 0.002 0.007 0.002 0.004 0.000 30 4 13744 61.42 40 18 0.006 0.015 0.004 0.008 0.000 43 5 13749 3.21 2 -32 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.002 0.000 32 6 13750 0.89 4 -20 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.003 0.000 21 7 13751 86.89 -14 -9 0.450 0.098 0.189 0.157 0.000 17 8 13754 20.55 -24 25 0.003 0.009 0.002 0.005 0.000 34 9 13755 11.64 -33 2 0.001 0.005 0.001 0.005 0.000 33 10 13756 59.31 -38 -17 0.008 0.018 0.006 0.006 0.000 41 11 13757 119.96 -49 18 0.001 0.005 0.001 0.008 0.000 52! 12 13759 21.47 13 -6 0.019 0.033 0.012 0.012 0.000 14 13 13760 0.56 6 20 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 21 Disk Forecast Rates 0.686 0.396 0.312 0.290 0.009 Multiplicative Uncertainties 1.1x 1.0x 1.1x 1.2x 1.3x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 50.00% 67.00% 73.00% 74.00% 99.00% Uncertainties 3.30% 1.00% 2.20% 4.00% 1.00%