2024/07/19 22:00 # AR# WLSG_10 Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (KG) (deg) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 1 13758 245.5 65 -10 0.078 0.088 0.039 0.031 0.000 66! 2 13753 87.95 75 12 0.011 0.001 0.015 0.006 0.008 75! 3 13748 16.94 35 15 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.004 0.000 38 4 13744 128.05 50 18 0.014 0.026 0.009 0.010 0.000 52! 5 13749 5.0 11 -32 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.002 0.000 34 6 13750 0.39 13 -20 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.003 0.000 24 7 13751 68.56 -5 -9 0.320 0.063 0.149 0.129 0.015 10 8 13754 5.28 -15 25 0.001 0.003 0.001 0.003 0.000 29 9 13755 3.52 -24 2 0.001 0.003 0.001 0.005 0.000 24 10 13756 19.73 -29 -18 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.004 0.000 34 11 13757 67.22 -41 18 0.001 0.005 0.001 0.007 0.000 44 12 13759 20.5 22 -6 0.013 0.024 0.008 0.013 0.000 23 13 13760 2.84 16 20 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.000 25 14 10425-1 371.27 -82 -12 0.015 0.026 0.009 0.013 0.025 83! Disk Forecast Rates 0.454 0.243 0.232 0.231 0.048 Multiplicative Uncertainties 1.1x 1.0x 1.1x 1.2x 1.3x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 63.00% 78.00% 79.00% 79.00% 95.00% Uncertainties 2.70% 1.00% 1.80% 3.30% 1.20%