2024/07/21 19:00 # AR# WLSG_10 Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (KG) (deg) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 1 13747 149.5 83 -24 0.007 0.016 0.005 0.007 0.018 84! 2 13744 213.98 83 15 0.023 0.002 0.024 0.014 0.015 84! 3 13748 25.33 61 15 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.002 0.000 62! 4 13760 17.02 42 22 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.000 47! 5 13749 94.44 35 -32 0.002 0.006 0.001 0.004 0.000 46! 6 13750 71.4 38 -20 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.005 0.000 42 7 13751 144.69 20 -9 0.385 0.080 0.169 0.145 0.021 22 8 13754 4.15 10 25 0.002 0.006 0.001 0.002 0.000 27 9 13755 0.8 1 2 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.000 2 10 13756 2.92 -4 -18 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.002 0.000 18 11 13757 23.7 -25 21 0.012 0.001 0.016 0.012 0.000 32 12 13759 88.75 48 -6 0.016 0.028 0.009 0.012 0.005 49! 13 13762 170.12 -55 -12 0.102 0.106 0.049 0.047 0.006 55! 14 10431-1 0.06 -19 -19 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 26 Disk Forecast Rates 0.549 0.245 0.274 0.254 0.065 Multiplicative Uncertainties 1.1x 1.0x 1.1x 1.2x 1.3x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 57.00% 78.00% 76.00% 77.00% 93.00% Uncertainties 3.00% 1.00% 2.00% 3.60% 1.60%