2024/07/21 20:00 # AR# WLSG_10 Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (KG) (deg) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 1 13747 143.85 84 -24 0.007 0.015 0.004 0.007 0.018 84! 2 13744 170.39 84 15 0.012 0.001 0.015 0.007 0.006 84! 3 13748 33.5 61 15 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.002 0.000 63! 4 13760 8.07 43 22 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.000 47! 5 13749 40.94 36 -32 0.002 0.006 0.001 0.003 0.000 46! 6 13750 29.29 38 -20 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.005 0.000 43 7 13751 129.31 20 -9 0.376 0.078 0.167 0.139 0.013 22 8 13754 2.78 11 25 0.002 0.007 0.002 0.002 0.000 27 9 13755 1.79 1 2 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.000 2 10 13756 4.03 -4 -18 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.003 0.000 18 11 13757 33.68 -24 21 0.013 0.001 0.016 0.013 0.000 32 12 13759 84.0 49 -6 0.014 0.026 0.009 0.013 0.007 49! 13 13762 165.54 -54 -12 0.110 0.112 0.053 0.056 0.000 55! 14 10431-1 0.11 -18 -19 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 26 15 10437-1 11.09 -55 20 0.001 0.003 0.001 0.001 0.000 57! Disk Forecast Rates 0.537 0.250 0.268 0.253 0.044 Multiplicative Uncertainties 1.1x 1.0x 1.1x 1.2x 1.3x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 58.00% 77.00% 76.00% 77.00% 95.00% Uncertainties 3.00% 1.00% 2.00% 3.60% 1.10%