2024/07/30 21:00 # AR# WLSG_10 Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (KG) (deg) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 1 13762 791.5 62 -14 1.447 0.439 0.424 0.693 0.154 63! 2 13765 157.39 16 -10 0.859 0.224 0.295 0.234 0.016 19 3 13770 44.18 21 6 0.114 0.115 0.055 0.072 0.037 22 4 10463-1 63.84 40 -6 0.031 0.045 0.017 0.014 0.010 40 5 13769 23.2 -26 22 0.003 0.010 0.003 0.007 0.000 34 6 10492-1 404.9 -63 -24 0.667 0.162 0.248 0.248 0.050 65! 7 10496-1 461.47 -82 -7 0.032 0.046 0.018 0.036 0.055 82! 8 10498-1 80.7 -75 17 0.001 0.005 0.001 0.001 0.006 76! Disk Forecast Rates 3.200 1.000 1.100 1.300 0.328 Multiplicative Uncertainties 1.2x 1.2x 1.2x 1.2x 1.5x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 4.00% 36.00% 33.00% 27.00% 72.00% Uncertainties 2.40% 6.70% 6.60% 6.40% 9.60%