2024/07/31 20:00 # AR# WLSG_10 Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (KG) (deg) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 1 13768 646.24 67 -16 2.022 0.674 0.534 1.001 0.167 68! 2 13765 336.41 32 -10 0.845 0.220 0.292 0.250 0.047 33 3 13769 6.57 -13 22 0.001 0.005 0.001 0.006 0.000 26 4 13772 346.03 -48 -23 0.439 0.095 0.186 0.163 0.061 52! 5 10496-1 418.79 -73 -7 0.043 0.005 0.037 0.024 0.019 73! 6 10498-1 90.67 -62 17 0.020 0.034 0.012 0.010 0.000 63! 7 10503-1 16.19 -50 9 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.001 0.000 51! Disk Forecast Rates 3.400 1.000 1.100 1.500 0.294 Multiplicative Uncertainties 1.2x 1.2x 1.2x 1.3x 1.5x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 3.00% 36.00% 33.00% 22.00% 74.00% Uncertainties 2.10% 6.70% 6.60% 8.70% 8.90%