2024/08/03 14:00 # AR# WLSG_10 Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (KG) (deg) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 1 13765 750.51 68 -9 1.171 0.334 0.366 0.427 0.069 68! 2 13770 160.63 63 8 0.135 0.021 0.082 0.049 0.005 63! 3 13769 5.79 21 22 0.002 0.006 0.001 0.004 0.000 30 4 13772 98.87 -12 -22 0.170 0.152 0.078 0.072 0.006 25 5 13774 314.45 -41 -8 0.328 0.065 0.152 0.108 0.000 41 6 13775 30.94 -27 18 0.049 0.063 0.026 0.021 0.000 32 7 13776 1.62 -13 10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 16 Disk Forecast Rates 1.900 0.641 0.705 0.681 0.080 Multiplicative Uncertainties 1.2x 1.2x 1.2x 1.2x 1.4x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 14.00% 52.00% 49.00% 50.00% 92.00% Uncertainties 5.20% 6.10% 6.30% 6.30% 2.50%