2024/08/15 16:00 # AR# WLSG_10 Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (KG) (deg) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 1 13786 320.79 44 -24 0.042 0.057 0.023 0.026 0.004 48! 2 13780 535.59 68 -10 0.856 0.223 0.295 0.228 0.008 68! 3 13783 32.44 72 12 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.000 72! 4 13781 128.22 60 15 0.003 0.008 0.002 0.008 0.000 61! 5 13788 14.06 -1 -13 0.006 0.014 0.004 0.021 0.000 13 Disk Forecast Rates 0.907 0.304 0.324 0.283 0.012 Multiplicative Uncertainties 1.2x 1.2x 1.2x 1.2x 1.3x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 40.00% 73.00% 72.00% 75.00% 98.00% Uncertainties 6.60% 4.10% 4.30% 3.90% 1.00%