2024/08/20 05:00 # AR# WLSG_10 Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (KG) (deg) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 1 13785 304.66 62 -14 0.185 0.031 0.102 0.064 0.006 63! 2 13784 438.72 73 16 0.016 0.029 0.010 0.010 0.012 74! 3 13789 57.41 42 27 0.029 0.043 0.016 0.017 0.000 48! 4 13797 2.77 28 -5 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.002 0.000 28 5 13790 242.64 -23 -15 0.209 0.176 0.093 0.093 0.003 27 6 13794 17.97 -1 19 0.008 0.017 0.005 0.011 0.000 19 7 13793 15.0 -23 23 0.004 0.010 0.003 0.005 0.000 33 8 13796 250.82 -54 -4 0.431 0.092 0.183 0.149 0.032 54! 9 10606-1 28.54 -64 -12 0.001 0.003 0.001 0.002 0.000 65! 10 13798 57.12 -72 6 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 72! Disk Forecast Rates 0.883 0.401 0.413 0.353 0.053 Multiplicative Uncertainties 1.1x 1.0x 1.1x 1.2x 1.3x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 41.00% 66.00% 66.00% 70.00% 94.00% Uncertainties 3.50% 1.00% 2.60% 4.50% 1.30%