2024/08/20 16:00 # AR# WLSG_10 Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (KG) (deg) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 1 13788 89.87 54 -8 0.008 0.017 0.005 0.005 0.000 54! 2 13785 232.11 69 -14 0.062 0.074 0.032 0.028 0.000 70! 3 13784 457.74 81 16 0.018 0.031 0.011 0.012 0.016 81! 4 13789 80.88 48 27 0.022 0.036 0.013 0.013 0.000 53! 5 13797 14.06 34 -5 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.002 0.000 35 6 13790 200.27 -17 -15 0.333 0.246 0.140 0.127 0.011 23 7 13794 25.77 5 19 0.011 0.021 0.007 0.013 0.000 19 8 13793 5.47 -18 23 0.001 0.004 0.001 0.003 0.000 29 9 13796 282.18 -48 -5 0.397 0.083 0.173 0.128 0.005 49! 10 10606-1 62.14 -60 -12 0.009 0.019 0.006 0.004 0.000 60! 11 13798 55.72 -66 6 0.002 0.005 0.001 0.003 0.000 66! 12 10612-1 286.94 -81 -10 0.005 0.012 0.004 0.004 0.011 81! 13 10615-1 45.87 -65 -28 0.026 0.040 0.015 0.020 0.016 68! Disk Forecast Rates 0.894 0.588 0.408 0.362 0.059 Multiplicative Uncertainties 1.1x 1.0x 1.1x 1.2x 1.3x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 40.00% 55.00% 66.00% 69.00% 94.00% Uncertainties 3.50% 1.00% 2.60% 4.60% 1.50%