2024/08/21 03:00 # AR# WLSG_10 Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (KG) (deg) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 1 13785 162.25 76 -14 0.004 0.000 0.007 0.002 0.000 77! 2 13784 414.61 86 16 0.040 0.055 0.022 0.060 0.087 86! 3 13789 103.29 54 27 0.016 0.028 0.010 0.010 0.003 58! 4 13797 43.88 40 -5 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.003 0.000 40 5 13790 148.81 -11 -15 0.336 0.248 0.141 0.125 0.007 19 6 13794 11.98 11 19 0.001 0.004 0.001 0.007 0.000 22 7 13793 2.74 -10 24 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.002 0.000 26 8 13796 334.07 -45 -6 0.452 0.098 0.189 0.152 0.000 46! 9 13798 43.31 -60 6 0.002 0.006 0.001 0.002 0.000 60! 10 10612-1 277.13 -77 -10 0.003 0.009 0.002 0.002 0.004 77! 11 10615-1 29.33 -60 -28 0.002 0.007 0.002 0.002 0.000 63! 12 10617-1 33.97 76 20 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 77! Disk Forecast Rates 0.856 0.458 0.375 0.367 0.101 Multiplicative Uncertainties 1.1x 1.0x 1.1x 1.2x 1.4x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 42.00% 63.00% 68.00% 69.00% 90.00% Uncertainties 3.50% 1.00% 2.50% 4.60% 3.10%