2024/08/21 20:00 # AR# WLSG_10 Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (KG) (deg) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 1 13788 61.5 71 -9 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 71! 2 13789 76.76 63 27 0.015 0.027 0.009 0.009 0.000 66! 3 13797 22.63 49 -5 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.002 0.000 50! 4 13790 112.68 -2 -15 0.347 0.254 0.145 0.137 0.000 16 5 13794 14.92 21 19 0.003 0.010 0.003 0.008 0.000 28 6 13793 4.19 3 24 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.002 0.000 24 7 13796 249.83 -36 -6 0.510 0.115 0.206 0.210 0.026 36 8 13798 19.47 -51 6 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.001 0.000 51! 9 10612-1 227.91 -66 -10 0.093 0.100 0.046 0.040 0.006 66! 10 10615-1 87.8 -48 -28 0.008 0.017 0.005 0.005 0.000 54! 11 10617-1 276.51 87 20 0.004 0.011 0.003 0.002 0.005 87! 12 10620-1 399.89 -83 6 0.009 0.018 0.006 0.008 0.017 83! Disk Forecast Rates 0.989 0.557 0.423 0.424 0.054 Multiplicative Uncertainties 1.1x 1.0x 1.1x 1.2x 1.3x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 37.00% 57.00% 65.00% 65.00% 94.00% Uncertainties 3.50% 1.00% 2.60% 5.10% 1.40%