2024/08/21 22:00 # AR# WLSG_10 Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (KG) (deg) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 1 13785 64.74 85 -13 0.001 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.000 85! 2 13784 201.4 88 20 0.004 0.010 0.003 0.002 0.005 88! 3 13789 103.57 64 27 0.019 0.032 0.011 0.011 0.000 67! 4 13797 56.02 50 -5 0.001 0.002 0.000 0.002 0.000 51! 5 13790 95.64 0 -15 0.311 0.235 0.132 0.128 0.006 15 6 13794 18.48 22 19 0.005 0.012 0.003 0.008 0.000 29 7 13793 4.19 4 24 0.001 0.003 0.001 0.002 0.000 24 8 13796 268.54 -35 -6 0.527 0.120 0.211 0.222 0.015 35 9 13798 22.27 -50 6 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.002 0.000 50! 10 10612-1 231.78 -65 -10 0.067 0.079 0.034 0.027 0.006 65! 11 10615-1 91.68 -47 -28 0.009 0.019 0.006 0.006 0.000 53! 12 10620-1 335.52 -82 6 0.008 0.017 0.005 0.007 0.016 82! Disk Forecast Rates 0.953 0.532 0.406 0.417 0.048 Multiplicative Uncertainties 1.1x 1.0x 1.1x 1.2x 1.3x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 38.00% 58.00% 66.00% 65.00% 95.00% Uncertainties 3.50% 1.00% 2.60% 5.00% 1.20%